Methodological Approaches to the Formation of the Applied Models for Panel Data Analysis to Forecast the Resource Region Economic Development under Conditions of Spatial Asymmetry (Exemplified by the Krasnoyarsk Territory)
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https://elib.sfu-kras.ru/handle/2311/29965Author:
Nepomnyaschaya, Natalia V.
Semenova, Anna R.
Непомнящая, Н.В.
Семенова, А.Р.
Date:
2016-11Journal Name:
Журнал Сибирского федерального университета. Гуманитарные науки. Journal of Siberian Federal University. Humanities & Social Sciences;2016 9 (11)Abstract:
Through the example of the Krasnoyarsk Territory, the longitudes formation for forming and
processing of the dynamic information decision-making database on the basis of the panel regional
studies of the economic indicators for the representative at the subregional level samples, based on
the official statistical information available on the portal of the Territorial Authority of the Federal
State Statistics Service for the Krasnoyarsk Territory, is studied in the article. This approach gives
an opportunity to study spatial development of the economy of the region as a whole as well as its
individual components – the municipalities, and to assess the effect of individual administrative
decisions influence on the level of the region development and system changes. This paper gives a
rationale for the use of the panel data analysis techniques by the means of the regression model with
deterministic effects for forecasting economic growth of the region under conditions of the spatial
asymmetry, and the obtained adequate model is presented В статье на примере Красноярского края рассматривается создание лонгитюдов для фор-
мирования и обработки динамической информационной базы принятия решений на основе
панельных региональных исследований по экономическим показателям по репрезентативным
на субрегиональном уровне выборкам на основе официальной статистической информации,
размещенной на портале Территориального органа федеральной службы государственной
статистики по Красноярскому краю. Такой подход позволяет исследовать пространственное
развитие как экономики региона в целом, так и отдельных ее составляющих – муниципальных
образований, а также оценить силу влияния на уровень развития региона отдельных управ-
ленческий решений и системных изменений. В статье дано обоснование применения методики
анализа панельных данных с помощью регрессионной модели с детерминированными эффек-
тами для прогнозирования экономического роста региона в условиях пространственной асим-
метрии и представлена полученная адекватная модель
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